Security Trends South Asia- Oct 2006

Security Trends South Asia - October 2006
Rahul K Bhonsle
Security-risks.com undertakes a survey of the security situation in South Asia during the month, this time September 2006 and possible way ahead for October 2006 and beyond.
The key issues during the month were a number of international initiatives to bring economic and security benefits to the South Asian Sub Continent. The Non Aligned movement leaders Summit in Havana saw resumption of peace dialogue between India and Pakistan, including drafting of a crucial Joint Mechanism on terror. India-Brazil-South Africa or IBSA and Indo German Defence relationship will supplement strengthening of Sino Indian relations, with the visit of the Chinese President Hu Jin Tao in November.
There was some hope of peace in Sri Lanka; Pakistan managed to lower the heat in Balochistan while Afghanistan remains an area of concern with increase in the production of poppy to 6100 tons and Taliban activities not showing any loss of momentum.
Bangladesh is witnessing civil strife in pre election mode, ditto for Nepal. Globally the military coup in Thailand, spelt the limits of democracy in South East Asia, Sudan and Somalia remained unstable, while Lebanon saw pull out of Israeli troops from the south replaced by the UNIFIL.
Indian police announced a major breakthrough in the 7/11 Mumbai blasts, Naga peace talks are set to resume in October while the process with ULFA, broke down. Dengue and Chikungunya are razing a large swathe of area of India from Kerala to New Delhi.
A survey of these and other critical issues duly summarized has been presented in the copy attached with this email to all key opinion leaders, policy makers and security analysts for their information and reference. The same is also forwarded to you for your consideration of publication of any issues which you find relevant please.
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